Interesting Trends in Wild Card Games

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Saw this article on another site and it is pretty interesting.

Even with only four games in th wildcard round, some interesting patterns have nonetheless developed through the years.

For records sake please not that HOME DOGS are a spotless 8-0 vs the number in the wild card games, though finding one (only 8 games since 1978) hasn't been easy.

Some of the blowout trend that is prevelent in the later rounds playoff action are filtering into the wildcard round the past few years. Last season two of the four wildcard games were decided by 20 or more. All four in 2001 were decided by double digit margins. Since 1995 20 of 32 wild card games hav been decided by 13 points or more and fully half of the 66 wildcard games since 1978 have been decided by 14 or more

Dogs in the NFL WIld Card Playoffs since 1978
Category Vs Points
1-3 pts dogs 17-10-2
3.5-6.5 12-15-1
7pt or more 10-7
Home Dogs 8-0
Road Dogs 31-32-3

(74 Total games --16 by 1-3 -- 16 by 4-7 Points --9 by 8-13 points and 33 by 14+)

Finally Since 1996, host stand 19-8-1 vs the line in WC games and the impressive mark includes a subpar 1-3 showing by the home side last year.

So if I look at lines right now I would say the TECHNICAL PICKS WOULD BE

Balt +1.5
Green Bay -7.5
Indy -3
Carolina -3

Anyone else with thoughts please post.

Just thought the group would find interesting.
 

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